Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Kiruna Division
ESTEC/Contract No. 13561/99/NL/SB
Minutes of the Progress Meeting PM5
SAAPS-PM-5-99/00/01
Held at
Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Kiruna
9 February 2001
Lars Eliasson opened the meeting.
The agenda was agreed and the previous minutes approved.
Peter Wintoft presented the main activities since the last progress meeting.
A generic model to load data, pre-process, load neural network, run and produce output has been upgraded.
The updated test plan, version 0.2, was sent to ESTEC on 14 November.
The graphical interface for the data plotter as well as the help pages have been tested.
Paolo Maldari has been contacted again but still no answer. He has been given a user name and password to be able to test the beta version of SAAPS.
A new tool has been added that can produce plots of daily sum of >2 MeV electron flux for the last 7 days. Threshold levels are used to determine the medium or high risk of internal charging.
A model for prediction using different satellite anomaly data sets has been tested using Kp data as input. The results have been included in the SAPM Technical Note. The accuracy of the predictions has been studied. The part of the SAPM technical notes covering this study was discussed in some detail. Graphs for presenting data should be made using easily understandable units, e.g., probabilities instead of relative mutual information. We must be careful so that we do not disclose the names of the satellites when showing results to people outside of the project. We shall check if the NSSDC anomaly set can be split so that satellites included in that data set can be compared with other similar anomaly sets.
Contacts have been taken with Esrange. They have problems running the applets. Leif Kalla shall go to Esrange to help investigate how these problems can be solved.
The following 9 action items were identified at the PM4 held at ESTEC 2 November 2000.
1. Peter Wintoft shall send a copy of the email previously sent to Howard Singer to Alain Hilgers and contact James Thieman at NSSDC and Lars Eliasson will contact Don Williams before 17 November.
James Thieman has been contacted. Answer was received from Dr Kent Hills at NSSDC. Copy of email to Howard Singer has been sent to ESTEC. Documentation of the availability of low altitude data will be made and included in the technical note on databases. The action item is closed.
2. Alain Hilgers shall check all URDs and send comments or approval before 10 November.
The URDs WP 110 and 210 are approved. The URD WP310 will be updated to version 1.0 and put on web before 14 February. The action item is closed.
3. Peter Wintoft shall contact again Paolo Maldari (ESOC) and ask them to clarify what was meant by "official channel" before 6 November.
Email has been sent in November but no answer has been received. Peter has sent a new message but will call next week if no answer is received. The action item is still open.
4. Alain Hilgers shall comment or approve the SRD before 10 November.
No critical items are identified and the SRDs can be considered approved if no comments are received next week. The action item is closed.
5. Peter Wintoft shall update the test plan and send it to ESTEC for approval before 17 November.
An updated test plan, version 0.2, has been written and submitted 14 November to ESTEC. Alain Hilgers commented that it is on the right track and should be finished as soon as possible. The test plan will be submitted on 23 February for approval. The action item is still open.
6. Peter Wintoft shall release a beta version of SAAPS before 17 November.
SAAPS version 0.1 was put on the web on November 17. Operators at Esrange and P Maldari ESOC have received access information about SAAPS. Alain Hilgers commented that it should be sent to more operators and others that could have interest in testing SAAPS. Alain suggested H Evans, E Daly and himself at ESTEC, J-P Catani at CNES, T Kuch at DLR, G Reeves at C Kunstadter in the US. The action item is still open.
7. Peter Wintoft shall send a detailed schedule of the rest of the implementation of the analysis module to Alain Hilgers for approval before 7 November.
The schedule will be put on the web 12 February. The action item is still open.
8. Peter Wintoft shall send copy of communication with Whittlesey.
Copy was sent to Alain Hilgers on November 6. The action item is closed.
9. Peter Wintoft shall contact H Koons and ask about availability of anomaly data before 8 November.
The action item is still open.
Four action items are closed, most of the other five are expected to be solved within a week.
Peter Wintoft made a short presentation of SAAPS and a demonstration of the available prototypes.
It was decided to change the date of final delivery to week 24, 2001. A readiness review meeting will be held at ESTEC week 20.
The following items are expected to be delivered:
– Software to be installed at ESTEC.
– Test report produced during installation of software at ESTEC.
– A short manual for the software. The rest of the manual is on-line.
– Four Technical Notes.
– Summary report (about 20 pages) and abstract.
Full package will be delivered on a CD. Documents also in written form.
What is left to be implemented in the database?
LANL data shall be implemented. Peter Wintoft will ask G Reeves if we can receive data to update LANL database.
LEO data will not be included in the SAAPS database due to difficulties in receiving a useful data set.
ACE data are implemented.
More GOES data have been received from ESTEC and shall be implemented.
OMNI data are implemented. Dst data exist and should be implemented as a separate item.
AE data from 1981 exist and shall be implemented.
Work to be on the analysis module.
The ways of treating anomalies related to single event upsets were discussed.
It was agreed as a baseline to implement.
– Tool to estimate the best prediction model.
– Tool using threshold values for daily average >2 MeV or 600 keV fluence data.
– Tool using threshold values for sum of Kp.
– Tool to plot low-altitude orbit data as function of local time, and geographic longitude and latitude, and to plot high-altitude data as function of local time.
– Information on how to submit new anomaly data sets.
Models to be implemented in the prediction module.
It was agreed as baseline to implement five models before final delivery:
– Model based on GOES data.
– Model using sum of Kp.
– Neural network-based models using the sum of Kp for three different satellite anomaly sets.
It was also discussed to add one model based on particles if the time left for the project allows that.
Contractual aspects
A new date for the final review, week 24, was agreed.
1. Peter Wintoft shall contact again Paolo Maldari (ESOC) before end of February (Previous action item nr 3).
2. Peter Wintoft shall submit test plan version 1.0 by 23 February (Previous action item nr 5).
3. Peter Wintoft shall send email with user names and passwords to H. Evans, E. Daly, A. Hilgers, J.-P. Catani, T. Kuch, G. Reeves and C. Kunstadter by 12 February (Previous action item nr 6).
4. Peter Wintoft shall put the SRD Java implementation pages on the web on 12 February. (Previous action item nr 7).
5. Peter Wintoft shall contact H Koons and ask about availability of anomaly data (Previous action item nr 9).
6. Peter Wintoft shall update URD WP310 to version 1.0 by 14 February.
7. Peter Wintoft shall send a detailed schedule of the rest of the implementation of the analysis module to Alain Hilgers for approval before 12 February.
8. Alain Hilgers shall confirm the name of the new contracts officer for the project before 16 February.
9. Peter Wintoft shall help solving the problem with applets that occurred running
SAAPS at Esrange.
No other matters were discussed.
It was decided to have the next meeting at ESTEC 18 May 2001.
Swedish Institute of Space Physics
PO Box 812
SE-981 28 Kiruna, Sweden
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Swedish Institute of Space Physics
Solar-Terrestrial Physics Division
Scheelevagen 17
SE-223 70 Lund, Sweden
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